Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.189347 0.213470 0.238919 0.267711 0.299322 0.332914 0.371253
2025-06-01 0.155825 0.188149 0.224148 0.267019 0.316477 0.371535 0.437248
2025-06-08 0.131433 0.168569 0.211923 0.265859 0.330715 0.405726 0.498547
2025-06-15 0.116167 0.157188 0.207103 0.271592 0.351914 0.447830 0.570115
2025-06-22 0.101480 0.144442 0.198785 0.271480 0.364963 0.479840 0.630221
2025-06-29 0.089442 0.133508 0.191296 0.271111 0.376765 0.509973 0.688482
2025-07-06 0.079411 0.124010 0.184516 0.270601 0.387627 0.538647 0.745335
2025-07-13 0.072274 0.117670 0.181207 0.274066 0.403339 0.573646 0.811088
2025-07-20 0.067309 0.113872 0.180918 0.281313 0.424083 0.615645 0.887106
2025-07-27 0.061440 0.108063 0.177143 0.283111 0.437001 0.647214 0.949860
2025-08-03 0.057554 0.104888 0.176863 0.289693 0.456637 0.688316 1.026538
2025-08-10 0.054225 0.102239 0.177070 0.296798 0.477069 0.730943 1.106352
2025-08-17 0.048934 0.095974 0.171399 0.294925 0.484625 0.756224 1.163642
2025-08-24 0.044524 0.090746 0.166922 0.294493 0.494114 0.784395 1.225723
2025-08-31 0.040459 0.085688 0.162287 0.293411 0.502371 0.810838 1.285910
2025-09-07 0.038163 0.083583 0.162342 0.299729 0.522108 0.854596 1.372272
2025-09-14 0.034985 0.079493 0.158683 0.299661 0.531696 0.883365 1.437266
2025-09-21 0.032072 0.075595 0.155029 0.299290 0.540619 0.911213 1.501446
2025-09-28 0.029416 0.071913 0.151451 0.298754 0.549098 0.938454 1.565243
2025-10-05 0.027600 0.069749 0.150443 0.302523 0.564641 0.976912 1.646862
2025-10-12 0.026464 0.068889 0.151768 0.310393 0.587182 1.026814 1.747100
2025-10-19 0.024675 0.066428 0.149867 0.312347 0.599768 1.061265 1.824228
2025-10-26 0.023628 0.065499 0.150835 0.319488 0.621337 1.110489 1.925373